Rent vs. Buy Calculator Northern Utah — When Does Buying Make Sense? | Randall Gorham
🔑 Buyer Tool

Rent vs. Buy
Northern Utah

Real Davis and Weber County data. Find the exact month when buying beats renting — and see your 10-year wealth difference.

Your Situation
Target area
Buying Scenario
Home price $450,000
Down payment 10% — $45,000
Interest rate 6.8%
Renting Scenario
Monthly rent $1,750/mo
Annual rent increase 3%/yr
Assumptions
Home appreciation 4%/yr
Years to compare 7 years
🏡
Buying Wins
Over your timeframe, buying builds significantly more wealth than renting.
Monthly — Buy
PITI total
Monthly — Rent
Current rent
Breakeven Point
Wealth Gap at Year 7
The month buying becomes the better financial decision
Cumulative Wealth Built Over Time
Buy — Equity at Year 7
Appreciation + principal
Rent — Savings at Year 7
If diff invested at 5%

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Your Income & Debts
Annual household income $95,000
Monthly debts (car, student loans) $350/mo
Down payment saved $30,000
Interest rate 6.8%
Estimated Home Price Range
Based on 28/36 qualifying rule
Conservative
Sweet Spot
Max Stretch
Max Payment (28%)
Down Payment %
on the sweet spot price

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Is buying or renting smarter in Northern Utah right now?

The rent vs. buy question doesn't have a universal answer — it depends on your specific numbers, timeline, and the local market. In Northern Utah, the math has historically favored buying for anyone planning to stay 2+ years, because home appreciation has been consistent and rents have risen sharply alongside it.

But "buying is always better" is too simple. This calculator uses real Davis and Weber County data — actual rent averages, realistic appreciation rates, and current interest rates — to give you a breakeven month that actually means something.

How the breakeven calculation works

Every month you rent, you're paying for housing with no equity accumulation. Every month you buy, part of your payment builds equity — and the home's value appreciates. The breakeven point is the month when the cumulative wealth you'd have built by buying surpasses the cumulative wealth you'd have from renting and investing the difference.

This calculator accounts for closing costs (typically 2–3% of purchase price) in the buying scenario, because those are real upfront costs that take time to overcome. It also assumes the renter invests the difference between rent and a mortgage payment at a 5% annual return — giving renting a fair shot.

Northern Utah rent averages in 2026

Rents have increased significantly across Northern Utah over the past five years. Current market averages for a 3-bedroom home or apartment:

  • Davis County (Layton, Farmington) — $1,650–$2,100/mo for a 3BR home
  • Weber County (Ogden, Roy) — $1,350–$1,750/mo for a 3BR home
  • Box Elder County (Brigham City) — $1,100–$1,500/mo for a 3BR home

These same homes would sell for $380,000–$500,000. At a 6.8% interest rate with 10% down, the monthly PITI payment runs $2,600–$3,100 — higher than rent, but with equity building every month.

The case for buying in Northern Utah

Davis County has appreciated at roughly 4–6% annually over the past decade, even accounting for the 2023–2024 rate shock slowdown. On a $450,000 home, 4% appreciation adds $18,000 in value per year — more than enough to offset the monthly payment premium over renting in most scenarios.

Rents are also less stable than buyers expect. Several Northern Utah tenants have seen rent increases of 10–20% at lease renewal in recent years. Locking in a fixed payment protects you from that uncertainty.

When renting makes more sense

  • You're staying less than 2 years — transaction costs won't be recovered
  • You're saving for a larger down payment to avoid PMI
  • You're new to an area and want time to find the right neighborhood
  • Your income or employment situation is in transition

Frequently asked questions

How long do I need to stay to make buying worth it in Northern Utah?
Generally 2–3 years in today's market, though it depends heavily on your down payment and the price point. With a VA loan (no closing costs rolled in, no PMI) the breakeven can be as short as 18 months. With a conventional loan and 5% down, expect 28–36 months to fully recover transaction costs through appreciation and principal paydown.
Are home prices in Northern Utah likely to keep appreciating?
Northern Utah has a structural housing shortage — more people moving in than new homes being built, particularly in Davis County. While no appreciation is guaranteed, the fundamentals (job growth, in-migration, constrained supply) point toward continued positive appreciation. Most analysts project 3–5% annual appreciation through 2027.
What if I can't afford 20% down?
Many buyers in Northern Utah purchase with 3–10% down. PMI adds $100–$200/month but can be removed once you reach 20% equity — typically 5–7 years at current appreciation rates. Utah Housing Corporation (UHC) also offers down payment assistance programs that can reduce your upfront costs significantly.
Is it a buyer's or seller's market right now?
Northern Utah has shifted closer to a balanced market in 2026 compared to the frenzied 2021–2022 period. Inventory is still below historical averages in Davis County, but buyers have more negotiating room than they did. Well-priced homes in good condition still move quickly. Overpriced listings are sitting longer, which creates opportunity for informed buyers.
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